Learn From History Without Copying It
Study past episodes—the rush of 1987, the painful grind of 2000–2002, the liquidity shock in 2008, the fast crash and rebound in 2020—to understand patterns and differences. Extract base rates and behavioral pitfalls rather than exact templates. Markets rhyme, not repeat. By focusing on human responses, liquidity dynamics, and diversification behavior, you gain flexible principles that adapt to new contexts, supporting resilient choices when the next surprise arrives with a different costume but familiar psychology.